English Premier League Prediction - Everton VS Burnley

English Premier League - Everton VS Burnley
Match Time: 06-04-2024 22:00 Saturday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Team Analysis
Everton, over the past two seasons, has experienced a significant decline in performance due to the unclear positioning of the management, even fighting for survival. In the previous season's 38 league matches, Everton managed only 11 wins, 6 draws, and 21 losses, finishing 16th in the league, barely avoiding relegation. This season, Everton's league performance has improved somewhat, but unfortunately, they have been docked points. In the last 30 league matches, Everton has only managed 8 wins, 8 draws, and 14 losses, currently sitting in 16th place on the points table, still facing some relegation pressure.

Burnley faced relegation in the 2021-2022 Premier League season. However, in the 2022-2023 season, Burnley had enough strength to compete in the Championship. After 46 league matches, they achieved 29 wins, 14 draws, and 3 losses, winning the league title with a 10-point lead and securing direct promotion. This season, the team's competitiveness is limited, and they also need to fight to avoid relegation. In the last round of league matches, after drawing 1-1 at home against Wolves, Burnley currently has a record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 20 losses, sitting in 19th place on the points table.

Odds Analysis
In this match, Everton, who has continued to struggle in the league, is giving a handicap of 0.75-1 at home against Burnley, which is quite significant. However, whether they can win convincingly against Burnley remains uncertain in my view! Firstly, looking at the head-to-head records, even when Everton was in the middle position, they only gave a 0.75 handicap. Secondly, considering the recent performances, higher-positioned teams like West Ham also gave a 0.75 handicap at home against Burnley. It's unreasonable to elevate Everton, who hasn't won in 13 consecutive league matches, to the level of mid-table teams. Therefore, the captain believes that the odds are manipulated to entice betting on Everton.

Pick: Burnley+1